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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 26.8% clip, John Collins's three-point prowess has increased this season to 46.1%.

The matchup against Portland is a favorable one for scoring; when the Portland Trail Blazers are on their home court, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 30th-most field goals per game in the NBA this year (7.0).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Utah Jazz rank 1stbest in in the league with 15.1 offensive boards per game this year.

This year when they are on the road, the other team has grabbed 9.2 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Trail Blazers (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce bonus chances for offense).

Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting Cs have attempted 4.3 foul shots per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, easily managing to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, John Collins measures in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 3.4 fouls per game this year.

The Utah Jazz are expected to see a decline in possessions today from sharing the court with the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Portland Trail Blazers).

John Collins has sunk a lowly 66.1% of his foul shots this year, quite a bit lower than his 81.0 rate last year.

As a team, the Utah Jazz have been bad at getting to the charity stripe: 4th-worst in the NBA this year, tallying a measly 18.0 foul shot attempts per game.

John Collins ought to see a decline in effectiveness in all facets of the game as a result of playing away from hom in this contest.

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