John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2023

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Utah Jazz · Nov 21, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 26.8% rate, John Collins's 3-point prowess has risen this season to 46.5%.
The Utah Jazz are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Lakers).
The Utah Jazz have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, John Collins slots into the 95th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a colossal 3.5 fouls per game while at home this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting Cs have averaged 43.5% on shots from the field (15th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, marking this as a hard matchup.
The 10th-most sluggish pace road team in the NBA this year has been the Jazz.
This year when they are at home, opposing clubs have captured 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (preserving possessions that can produce added chances for offense).
John Collins has shot and missed 0.9 foul shot attempts per game this year, significantly more than his 0.5 mark last year.

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