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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 11/17/2023

Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has converted an impressive 45.0% of his three-point attempts this season, a significant increase from his 26.8 mark last season.

This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting Cs have compiled 20.2 points per game (27th-highest in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, making this a positive matchup for offensive effectiveness.

The Jazz have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league on the road this year.

The Utah Jazz have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

John Collins will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, John Collins lands in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 3.4 fouls per game while at home this year.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which ought to reduce plays for the Utah Jazz.

The Suns have allowed the 9th-most offensive boards per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Jazz's lackluster 20.7 free throw attempts per game while on the road places 7th-worst in the NBA this year.

This matchup may be a positive one for getting to the foul line; when the Phoenix Suns are on their home court, opposing clubs have attempted a massive 24.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (10th-most in the league).

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