John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 1:43 AM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has made a whopping 45.5% of his 3-point attempts this year, significantly higher than his 26.8 rate last year.
This year, the opposition's starting Cs have tallied 20.2 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, resulting in a strong matchup for offensive performance.
The 4th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Utah Jazz.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to increase plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 15thbest in in the league away from their home court with 14.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

John Collins has been called for 3.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
Compared to last year's 0.5 clip, John Collins's off-target free throws have risen this year to 0.9 per game.

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