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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Utah Jazz

 
 
 
John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Compared to last year's 26.8% mark, John Collins's 3-point efficiency has surged this year to 38.1%.
  • John Collins has averaged 29.5 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
  • Since the start of last season, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 49.4% on shot attempts from the field (28th-best in the NBA) against the Pacers, identifying this as a good matchup.
  • The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).
  • The Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • John Collins has accumulated 3.8 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
  • The Utah Jazz rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league without the home court advantage this year.
  • The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
  • Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the other team has brought down 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (maintaining possessions that can bring about added opportunities for offense).
  • John Collins has converted just 58.3% of his free throw attempts this season, significantly lower than his 81.0 mark last season.

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