John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:31 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has made 5.0 baskets per game this year, putting him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league.
John Collins has sunk 53.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 22.2% more than he's sunk overall this year at home.
John Collins has averaged 29.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 77th percentile.
The matchup against Philadelphia is a good one; when the 76ers are away from home, they have allowed the 24th-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting PFs this year (16.4).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to attempts from downtown.
The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Hawks.