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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has made 1.8 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year.

John Collins has averaged 29.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 77th percentile.

The matchup vs. the Bulls is a positive one for attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (95th percentile).

The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease possessions for the Hawks.

With the home court advantage, the Bulls have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

As a team, the Atlanta Hawks have been bad at getting to the free throw line: 9th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a lowly 22.4 foul shots per game.

The matchup vs. the Bulls may be a challenging one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (8th-least in the NBA).

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