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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 4/2/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has converted 5.1 shots made from the field per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA.

John Collins has converted 2.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.3 higher than he's converted from 3-point range overall this season playing at home.

John Collins has been on the court for 29.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 77th percentile.

The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a favorable one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (17.3).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to three-point attempts.

The Mavericks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league while traveling this year, which should decrease opportunities for the Hawks.

Away from home, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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