John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Washington Wizards · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 11:56 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has successfully made 53.1% of his shots from the field while on his home court this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
John Collins has played 29.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA on their home court this year.
The matchup against the Wizards is a good one for field goals; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 29th-most baskets per game in the league this year (5.8).
The Wizards have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Hawks.

Favors Under

John Collins has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (96th percentile).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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