John Collins Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has made 59.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 9.7% higher than he's sunk in all games this year.
John Collins has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 16.6% higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
John Collins has been on the court for 30.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing away from home.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from home.

Favors Under

John Collins has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (98th percentile).
The Thunder have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Thunder may be a difficult one for drawing fouls; opposing clubs have attempted a lowly 30.9 free throws per game over the last 10 games (least in the NBA).
The Atlanta Hawks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; while playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 6th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.7).

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