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John Collins

John Collins Points
Player Prop - 1/16/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

John Collins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has successfully made 6.5 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 higher than he's made over the course of the year.

John Collins has averaged 29.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 77th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year as it relates to field goals.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NBA this year.

The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the league to opposing clubs this year (which also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has sunk just 24.3% of his three-point shots this year, significantly lower than his 34.7 rate last year.

John Collins has been called for 4.1 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for overall this year.

The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one for three-pointers; their opposition have totaled the 4th-least threes per game in the league this year (13.3).

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league while at home this year as it relates to 3-pointers.

The Hawks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.

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