John Collins Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Made 3 Point Shots

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +180 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has sunk 53.3% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games at home, 22.2% more than he's sunk overall this year at home.
John Collins has averaged 29.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 77th percentile.
The matchup vs. the 76ers is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 26th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 25 games (4.9).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

John Collins has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to attempts from downtown.
The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Hawks.

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