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John Collins

John Collins Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/25/2023

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Atlanta Hawks

John Collins Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-235/+190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -220 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -235.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has converted 1.6 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's made from downtown in all games this season.

John Collins has been on the court for 30.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 81st percentile.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games away from home.

The Hawks have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased possessions for the Thunder.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (98th percentile).

The Thunder have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (which will also lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

The Atlanta Hawks have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Thunder is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; while playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the 6th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (3.7).

John Collins will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally worsens player performance for all stats.

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