John Collins Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2024

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NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Utah Jazz

Assists

Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 10, 2024

Updated Jan 10, 2024 9:58 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 2nd-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Jazz.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
John Collins figures to get a boost in performance in all stat categories on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, John Collins slots into the 84th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.6 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Jazz are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the least up-tempo pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
The Denver Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).