John Collins Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 9:21 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has averaged 29.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 77th percentile.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

John Collins has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (95th percentile).
The Bulls have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease possessions for the Hawks.
With the home court advantage, the Bulls have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
John Collins will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player performance across the board.

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