John Collins Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2023

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NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 21, 2023

Updated Mar 21, 2023 6:36 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has played 29.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Pistons have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court, which ought to increase plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
John Collins will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player production for all stats.

Favors Under

John Collins has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Pistons have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).