John Collins Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 2:12 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has averaged 29.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
While playing on the road, the Warriors have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
John Collins will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally raises player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

John Collins has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (96th percentile).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Warriors have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).