John Collins Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 11:48 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has played 29.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
The Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

John Collins has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
John Collins will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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