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John Collins

John Collins Assists
Player Prop - 3/4/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

John Collins Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-140/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

John Collins has played 29.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 81st percentile.

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

John Collins has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Hawks.

John Collins will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to lowers stat production across the board.

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