John Collins Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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John Collins

NBA · Player Props

John Collins

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Assists

Atlanta Hawks vs Portland Trail Blazers · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 3, 2023 6:38 PM EST

Analysis

John Collins Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-238/+177).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -233 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -238.

Key Factors

Favors Over

John Collins has averaged 29.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 75th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
John Collins will hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raises stat production across the board.

Favors Under

John Collins has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (96th percentile).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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