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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has scored 34.4 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile.

Joel Embiid has successfully made 48.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 14.2% higher than he's made from three in all games this year with the home court advantage.

Joel Embiid has played 33.7 minutes per game on his home court this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 9th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

Offensive rebounds save possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Philadelphia 76ers rank 10thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With respect to 3-point attempts, the 10th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.

The number of field goals hit against Rudy Gobert has been quite low (5.2 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (17th percentile).

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Philadelphia 76ers.

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