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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 11/4/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Phoenix Suns

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Joel Embiid rates in the 100th percentile, tallying a massive 31.9 points per game when playing on the road since the start of last season.

Joel Embiid has successfully made 53.3% of his field goal attempts while playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.

Joel Embiid has tallied 34.4 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 93rd percentile.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while at home since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, opposing squads have averaged 46.7% on shot attempts from the field (9th-worst in the NBA) against the Suns, making this a difficult matchup.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 5th-slowest tempo team in the league this year has been the Philadelphia 76ers.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Philadelphia 76ers rank 4thworst in in the league away from home with a mere 8.9 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Playing at home, the Phoenix Suns have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting Cs have attempted 2.8 foul shots per game (23rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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