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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 5/7/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has scored 32.2 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 100th percentile.

Joel Embiid has sunk 59.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 5.7% higher than he's converted in all games this season while on his home court.

Joel Embiid has played 34.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Boston is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Celtics are the visiting team, the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the 30th-most baskets per game in the NBA this year (6.2).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Celtics have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

The Celtics have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

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