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Joel Embiid

Joel Embiid Points
Player Prop - 3/10/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Portland Trail Blazers

Joel Embiid Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 32.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Joel Embiid has scored 28.1 points per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's leaders by this metric.

Joel Embiid has tallied 33.9 minutes per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Philadelphia 76ers rank as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games on their home court.

The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a strong one for field goals; the opposing team's starting Cs have put up the 29th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (61.3%).

The Trail Blazers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the 76ers.

The Philadelphia 76ers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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