Joe Harris Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Joe Harris

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Phoenix Suns · Feb 7, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 10:41 AM EST

Analysis

Joe Harris Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Joe Harris has converted 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 6 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made from three in all games this season while on his home court.
Joe Harris has been on the court for 29.7 minutes per game over the last 14 games, 5.6 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
This matchup is a strong one for three-point attempts; the other team have averaged the 3rd-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (31.5).
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Joe Harris has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the league (83rd percentile).
The Suns have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
When playing away from home, the Suns have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Suns may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 1.7 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (2nd-least in the league).