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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 11/27/2024

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler comes in at the 75th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 28.0 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

Over the last 24 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SFs have notched 16.4 points per game (6th-most in the league) vs. the Hornets, identifying this as a favorable matchup for offensive efficiency.

Jimmy Butler has converted 88.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 11.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

The matchup against the Hornets is a positive one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted an enormous 4.5 foul shots per game this year (most in the league).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 11.1% of his 3-pointers while on the road this year, ranking him in the 15th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The 5th-most lethargic pace team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 5th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Charlotte Hornets).

The Miami Heat rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler will likely suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this game.

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