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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 4/9/2024

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler comes in at the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.6 minutes per game on the road this year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 13.6 field goal attempts per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, branding this as a strong matchup.

The Heat will likely see a rise in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-fastest pace home offense in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 7.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's put through the net overall this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jimmy Butler has attempted just 13.5 field goals per game this year, significantly less than his 15.6 rate last year.

The most sluggish tempo road offense in the league this year has been the Heat.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league as the visting team with only 8.1 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Jimmy Butler ought to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this game.

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