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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 3/15/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has converted 55.4% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 5.7% more than he's made in all games this year when playing away from home.

Out of all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler rates in the 95th percentile for three-point performance with a superb 45.0% rate this year.

Jimmy Butler has played 33.5 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.

The Heat are expected to see an increase in plays today from sharing the court with the most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler registers in the 99th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, tallying an enormous 8.0 foul shot attempts per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a challenging one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs over the last 15 games (11.1).

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home court.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player performance across the board.

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