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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 3/8/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has converted 57.1% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 7.4% more than he's made in all games this year while playing away from home.

Jimmy Butler has converted 59.9% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 12.6% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this year.

Jimmy Butler has played 33.3 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

In terms of three-pointers, the Heat's outstanding 41.4% rate of drained threes when playing away from home comes in as the 3rd-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Thunder have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise opportunities for the Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a challenging one for 3-point shots; opposing starting SFs have compiled the 29th-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (25.5%).

The least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player production for all stats.

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