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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 79.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games on the road, 19.1% higher than he's converted in all games this season when playing on the road.

Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler slots into the 88th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.7 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.

This year when they are on the road, the other team has secured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers (losing possessions that could otherwise create extra opportunities for offense).

Among all players in the NBA, Jimmy Butler ranks in the 99th percentile for drawing fouls, posting a massive 8.2 free throw attempts per game this year.

As a team, the Miami Heat have been very successful at getting to the charity stripe recently: 4th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road with 23.6 free throws per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jimmy Butler has attempted a mere 13.4 shots from the field per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 15.6 mark last year.

The matchup vs. Portland is a tough one for shot attempts from the field; when the Trail Blazers are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (8.4).

The least up-tempo tempo road team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Miami Heat.

The Heat check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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