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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 2/11/2024

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has made 57.9% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games, 7.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 57.6% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 12.8% more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.

Out of all players in the league, Jimmy Butler measures in the 92nd percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 33.9 minutes per game this year.

The matchup against Boston is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Boston Celtics are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SFs have averaged the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.7).

The Celtics have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise plays for the Miami Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 3rd-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Heat.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have come down with 13.6 offensive boards per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (preserving possessions that can produce further opportunities for offense).

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 1.5 foul shots per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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