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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 11/18/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has compiled 26.0 points per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 4.4 more than he's compiled over the course of the season at home.

Jimmy Butler has converted 1.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made in all games this season.

Jimmy Butler has tallied 33.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 85th percentile.

Compared to last year's 1.4 rate, Jimmy Butler's personal fouls per game have been reduced this year to 0.6.

The Heat check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 7 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league on their home court this year.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Bulls).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 6thworst in in the NBA at home with a mere 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, their opposition has grabbed 13.6 offensive rebounds per game (4th-most in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls (continuing possessions that can produce more chances for offense).

Jimmy Butler will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player production for all stats.

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