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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 6/12/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has attempted 20.4 shots per game over the last 5 games, 4.8 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 1.6 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's converted from three over the course of the season.

Jimmy Butler has played 39.7 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.2 more than he's played in all games this season.

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league away from home this year as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.3).

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

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