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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 6/9/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jimmy Butler has averaged 29.3 points per game over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, 4.1 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home.
  • Jimmy Butler has made 1.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
  • Jimmy Butler has averaged 39.6 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.2 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
  • The Miami Heat have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 7 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Jimmy Butler has attempted 8.6 free throws per game this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The matchup against the Nuggets is a challenging one; they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs this year (13.5).
  • The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
  • The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.
  • On the road, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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