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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 6/1/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has attempted 20.7 shots per game over the last 15 games, 5.3 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Jimmy Butler has attempted 3.6 threes per game over the last 15 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.

Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 38.9 minutes per game over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, 4.6 more than he's been on the court for overall this year on the road.

The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road as it relates to three-point attempts.

The Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one; they have given up the 11th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SFs this year (13.4).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should decrease opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a difficult one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.2 foul shots per game this year (15th-least in the NBA).

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