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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 5/27/2023

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has scored 28.8 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.7 higher than he's scored over the course of the year.

Jimmy Butler has converted a whopping 53.3% of his field goal attempts this season, a big improvement over his 47.9 rate last season.

Jimmy Butler has tallied 38.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.7 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.

The Miami Heat check in as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

The Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one for scoring; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 8th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (45.7%).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the league this year.

The Celtics have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should reduce plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

The matchup against the Celtics is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.5 free throws per game this year (13th-least in the league).

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