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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 5/8/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has scored 36.2 points per game over the last 5 games, 12.1 higher than he's scored in all games this year.

Jimmy Butler has made 47.8% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games at home, 12.1% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season playing at home.

Jimmy Butler has played 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 90th percentile.

The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to attempts from downtown.

The Knicks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.4) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. New York is a difficult one; when the Knicks are away from home, they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (13.3).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.

The Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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