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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 4/6/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has averaged 26.5 points per game over the last 15 games, 3.6 more than he's averaged overall this season.

Jimmy Butler has converted 51.2% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 17.1% more than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.

Jimmy Butler has tallied 33.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 89th percentile.

The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league on the road this year as it relates to attempts from downtown.

The matchup against the 76ers is a positive one; they have given up the 25th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SFs over the last 10 games (17.9).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games, which should decrease plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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