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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 4/4/2023

Detroit Pistons vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-105/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has averaged 26.8 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.0 higher than he's averaged overall this year.

Jimmy Butler has converted 51.2% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, 17.1% more than he's converted from downtown overall this season.

Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 89th percentile.

The Miami Heat rank as the 9th-most aggressive offense in the NBA away from their home court this year in terms of attempts from downtown.

The matchup vs. the Pistons is a strong one; they have given up the 30th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting SFs this year (17.6).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Pistons have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games at home, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

The Pistons have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually lowers player production across the board.

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