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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 4/1/2023

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has scored 22.6 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 93rd percentile.

Jimmy Butler has sunk 57.9% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games, 23.7% more than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.

Jimmy Butler has averaged 33.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The Miami Heat rank as the 10th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

Jimmy Butler has attempted 8.6 free throws per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a tough one for threes; the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 9th-least threes per game in the league this year (1.7).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

While playing on the road, the Mavericks have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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