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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 3/1/2023

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 9.7 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 more than he's made over the course of the season.

Jimmy Butler has converted 1.3 threes per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season with the home court advantage.

Jimmy Butler has played 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 5.2 more than he's played over the course of the year at home.

The matchup against Philadelphia is a good one; when the 76ers are the visiting team, they have allowed the 26th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs since the start of last season (16.2).

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jimmy Butler has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's been called for in all games this season at home.

The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The matchup against Matisse Thybulle is a difficult one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when squaring off against fellow starting SFs this year, they have converted a mere 29.6% of their three-point attempts (20th percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year.

The 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Heat.

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