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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 2/27/2023

Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has converted 9.7 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's sunk in all games this season.

Jimmy Butler has successfully made 1.6 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's converted over the course of the season without the home court advantage.

Jimmy Butler has played 34.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 94th percentile.

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

When playing at home, the 76ers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games.

The matchup vs. Philadelphia is a difficult one; when the 76ers are playing at home, they have given up the 7th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs since the start of last season (14.8).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year.

The 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Heat.

Jimmy Butler will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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