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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 2/24/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has sunk 9.7 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

Jimmy Butler has made 1.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 more than he's made from three over the course of the year away from home.

Jimmy Butler has played 34.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 94th percentile.

The Bucks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The matchup against Milwaukee is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Bucks are on their home court, opposing starting SFs have put up the 13th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (38.9%).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year.

Jimmy Butler will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduces stat production across the board.

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