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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 2/13/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has scored 21.9 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 93rd percentile.

Jimmy Butler has converted 52.0% of his field goals on his home court this year, ranking in the 75th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Jimmy Butler has tallied 33.4 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against Denver is a challenging one for shots from the field; opposing starting SFs have totaled the 21st-least shot attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games when the Nuggets are away from home (12.1).

The matchup vs. Michael Porter Jr. is a challenging one for three-point shots; when matched up against fellow starting SFs this year, they have tallied just 1.5 treys per game (7th percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home.

The matchup against Michael Porter Jr. is a tough one for drawing fouls; when squaring off against fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game (7th percentile).

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