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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 2/11/2023

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jimmy Butler has averaged 20.5 points per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard.
  • Jimmy Butler has tallied 33.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 89th percentile.
  • Jimmy Butler has committed a measly 0.0 technical fouls per game this season, quite a bit less than his 0.1 technicals per game last season.
  • The matchup vs. Franz Wagner is a good one for attempts from downtown; when Wagner is at home and matched up against fellow starting SFs this year, they have attempted a whopping 5.8 three-pointers per game (96th percentile).
  • The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Miami Heat check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Magic have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.
  • Jimmy Butler will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production across the board.

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