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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Points
Player Prop - 1/27/2023

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

Jimmy Butler Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has posted 21.6 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 92nd percentile.

Jimmy Butler has attempted 13.8 shots from the field per game this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.

Jimmy Butler has attempted 10.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.6 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

Jimmy Butler has played 33.7 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing at home (which also lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Magic have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games when playing on the road (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home.

The matchup against the Magic is a hard one for three-pointers; opposing starting SFs have posted the 8th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court (28.8%).

The matchup vs. the Magic may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a lowly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road (8th-least in the league).

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