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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Assists
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jimmy Butler Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has totaled 5.7 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 higher than he's totaled over the course of the season.

Jimmy Butler has played 33.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 91st percentile.

Jimmy Butler has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (17th percentile).

This year when they are on their home court, opposing teams have come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise spark more opportunities for offense).

Jimmy Butler figures to see a rise in production in all facets of the game in light of holding the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games.

The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer plays for the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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