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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Assists
Player Prop - 6/4/2023

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has posted 5.5 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the hottest players in the NBA by this metric over this stretch of games: 93rd percentile.

Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 40.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.7 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.

The Nuggets have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jimmy Butler has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.2 more than he's committed overall this year on the road.

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Jimmy Butler will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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