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Jimmy Butler

Jimmy Butler Assists
Player Prop - 4/11/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Jimmy Butler Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-180/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jimmy Butler has averaged 7.4 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.1 more than he's averaged in all games this season.

Jimmy Butler has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 89th percentile.

Jimmy Butler has tallied 1.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the league (25th percentile).

The Hawks have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Heat.

Jimmy Butler will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually improves stat production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Without the home court advantage, the Hawks have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.9) in the league to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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