Jerami Grant Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2024

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Jerami Grant

NBA · Player Props

Jerami Grant

F · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 14, 2024

Updated Jan 15, 2024 12:35 AM EST

Analysis

Jerami Grant Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a difficult one for shots from the field; when the Phoenix Suns are the visiting squad, opposing squads have put up the 4th-lowest FG% in the NBA against them this year (46.1%).
The 9th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Portland Trail Blazers.
The Portland Trail Blazers have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Trail Blazers check in as the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Portland Trail Blazers.
Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have secured 12.6 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns (retaining possessions that can produce additional opportunities for offense).
This matchup may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing clubs have attempted an enormous 25.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (8th-most in the NBA).

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